Wholesale Inflation Tops Expectations

A picture of a graphic depicting inflation with an upwards arrow

Wholesale prices rose more than expected in September despite Federal Reserve efforts to control inflation, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported.

The producer price index, (PPI) a measure of prices paid to goods and services producers, increased 0.4% for the month, compared with analysts’ estimates for a 0.2% gain. On a 12-month basis, PPI rose 8.5%, down slightly from 8.7% in August.

Supply-chain inflation moderated slightly in September, although remaining elevated.

Goods inputs for Stage 4 intermediate demand, measuring the products purchased by industries primarily producing output sold to final demand, such as RV manufacturers, was flat in September. Year-over-year Stage 4 demand rose 8.4%, down slightly from 8.7% in August.

Stage 3 intermediate demand, measuring suppliers to Stage 4 producers such as RV manufacturers, fell 0.2% in July. Overall, demand rose 10.8% year-over-year, down from 12.1% the previous month.

Stage 2 intermediate demand, suppliers to Stage 3 suppliers, fell 0.1% in September after rising 6% in August. Overall, Stage 2 intermediate demand rose 18.6% year-over-year, although that was down from 20.4% in August.

Stage 1 goods demand rose 0.6% in September after falling 1.7% in August. Overall, demand rose 10.8% year-over-year, up from 10.4% in August.

Elevated supply-chain inflation is keeping final goods demand from moderating more, helping keep overall inflation levels high.

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