Analyst: Thor’s 2023 Performance Will Top 2009

A picture of TRG CEO Kathryn Thompson, color version

Thompson Research Group founding partner and CEO Kathryn Thompson on Thursday examined Thor Industries’ fiscal first quarter financial results released Wednesday.

Thompson said the company’s short-term outlook might be choppy because of macroeconomic factors beyond its control, but the long-term outlook remains solid.

To bolster her view, she said short-term downside scenarios look far better than the industry’s 2009 performance.

“Gross margins hit 10% in 2009,” Thompson said about Thor, “and Thor Industries is guiding to a bottom range of 14.2% for fiscal 2023.”

The difference, she said, is the industry downturn is related to consumers’ purchasing ability, not buyer interest.

“Thor Industries indicated that web traffic is at an all-time high, and there is a larger potential buyer pool now than pre-Covid,” Thompson said.

When interest rates fall, Thompson said the RV industry will benefit quicker than others, like the industry’s pandemic boom increase and its decrease following rising 2022 interest rates.

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